Monday, October 7, 2013

Justin's Week 5 Mock Draft

1. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-14) - Teddy Bridgewater (QB/Louisville)

Blaine Gabbert's QBR over the past two weeks: 1.7 and 2.8.  To make matters worse, the Jaguars traded Eugene Monroe and lost top draft pick Luke Joeckel for the season and they are 28-point underdogs to the Broncos this week.  Basically, it can't get much worse for the Jaguars.

At least with the top draft pick, they can address the quarterback situation.  Bridgewater had another stellar game this week against Temple and has completed 71.4-percent of his passes this season to go along with an outstanding 16-1 touchdown to interception ratio.

2. Oakland Raiders (4-12) - Anthony Barr (OLB/UCLA)

Boom.  Barr has had a great season, including two sacks last week against Utah.  Combine this with Jadeveon Clowney who sat himself last weekend and we see our first surprise pick early in the draft.  Clowney is supposed to be one of the best defensive players of this generation, but he has had a fair share of injuries and motivational problems.  Barr has become a stud since converting from running back last year.

3. Cleveland Browns (5-11) - Jadeveon Clowney (DE/South Carolina)

Quarterback is a need, but Cleveland has two first round picks in a QB heavy draft and Clowney is simply too good to pass up.  The Browns defense has been great for them and a huge part of their three game win streak, but you can never have enough pass rushers in today's NFL.

4. Buffalo Bills (5-11) - Jake Matthews (OT/Texas A&M)

Buffalo has surrendered 15 sacks, ranking among the league's worst.  If Cordy Glenn continues to struggle on the lest side, the may bring in a replacement and put him on the right side of the line.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11) - Tajh Boyd (QB/Clemson)

The Josh Freeman era is over in Tampa Bay, so expect the Bucs to look for their next signal caller early in next year's draft.  Boyd was solid against a weak Syracuse team and is accurate.

6. New York Jets (6-10) - Sammy Watkins (WR/Clemson)

The Jets need to bring in some offensive weapons if they want Geno Smith to succeed.  Santonio Holmes is too unhealthy to be dependable and Stephen Hill hasn't developed as expected.  Watkins can be a go-to target for the new Jets offense.

7. St. Louis Rams (6-10) - Taylor Lewan (OT/Michigan)

Jake Long was signed last offseason, but he has already been injured.  Additionally, Roger Saffold is a free agent at season's end.  The Rams will need to bring in another tackle who can play both positions for this offense.

8. Philadelphia Eagles (6-10) - Bradley Roby (CB/Ohio State)

Aside from the three interceptions last weekend, Philadelphia's pass defense hasn't looked great this season.  Roby can help solidify one side of the field across from Brandon Boykin.

9. St. Louis Rams (6-10) - Louis Nix (DT/Notre Dame)

St. Louis added Michael Brockers in 2012, but they need another tackle to play next to him.  Nix would solidify an already talented defensive line.

10. San Diego Chargers (7-9) - Austin Seferian-Jenkins (TE/Washington)

Antonio Gates has aged quickly in San Diego.  The team will need to find a new safety valve for Phillip Rivers and Seferian-Jenkins is one of the best tight end prospects to come out in a long time.

11. New York Giants (7-9) - Marcus Roberson (CB/Florida)

The Giants overall are a complete mess, but one of their biggest issues is cornerback, where three of their top players are entering free agency.  Even if they weren't this position needs a massive upgrade.

12. Tennessee Titans (7-9) - Jason Verrett (CB/TCU)

Alterraun Verner is going to get paid and if it is not by Tennessee then they will need to find a new cornerback to replace him.

13. Cincinnati Bengals (7-9) - Ra'Shede Hageman (DE/Minnesota)

Hageman has been great for Minnesota this season.  The Bengals have Geno Atkins, but Michael Johnson is an impending free agent, so Cincinnati may seek help along their defensive line.

14. Kansas City Chiefs (8-8) - Mike Evans (WR/Texas A&M)

Kansas City doesn't have many options at receiver across from Dwayne Bowe.  Evans is a big-bodied receiver similar to Vinnie Jackson who can be a force across the middle.

15. Carolina Panthers (8-8) - Marqise Lee (WR/USC)

Steve Smith is no spring chicken anymore.  Brandon LaFell has shown flashes but he can't be relied upon to be the top target in Carolina so the team will need to find someone to play across form Smith for a season before replacing him.

16. Detroit Lions (8-8) - Antonio Richardson (OT/Tennessee)

Riley Reiff has been a bust at left tackle.  The Lions will need to bring in a new person to protect the blind side and flip Rieff back over to the right, which he excelled at last season.

17. Arizona Cardinals (8-8) - Khalil Mack (DE/Buffalo)

The Cardinals really has no premiere pass rusher.  Mack, who was unblockable during the Ohio State game, has been a force during the season and has emerged as a first round candidate.

18. Atlanta Falcons (8-8) - Aaron Lynch (DE/South Florida)

The Falcons were unable to put any pressure on Tom Brady last week.  If they expect to compete in the NFC South they need to find a way to get to the quarterback.

19. Miami Dolphins (8-8) - James Hurst (OT/North Carolina)

Jonathan Martin has been awful at left tackle this year.  The Dolphins can't enter 2014 with him protecting the blind side.  Hurst can help the team move Martin back over to the right.

20. Minnesota Vikings (9-7) - Anthony Johnson (DT/LSU)

Sharrif Floyd was brought in last season to replace Kevin Williams, but the team could double dip at the position to create a new era of the Williams Wall.  Johnson has been solid for LSU all season.

21. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) - C.J. Mosley (MLB/Alabama)

Pittsburgh has a gap in the middle of their defense that needs to be filled.  Mosley would has been the top inside linebacker taken last season as well.

22. Houston Texans (10-6) - A.J. Johnson (MLB/Tennessee)

Brian Cushing has been good inside of the middle, but he is better on the outside.  Adding Johnson can provide Houston with an upgrade at two positions.  I was considering mocking a quarterback here as well, but I think it is more likely that Houston looks to the second or third round to find a replacement for Matt Schaub.

23. Dallas Cowboys (7-9) - Scott Crichton (DE/Oregon State)

Dallas lost Anthony Spencer for the season, who is a potential free agent.  Spencer and the Cowboys brass may disagree on how much he is worth and if he walks, the Cowboys will need to find someone who can provide a pass rush across from DeMarcus Ware.

24. Chicago Bears (10-6) - Aaron Colvin (CB/Oklahoma)

Tim Jennings and Charles Tillman are upcoming free agents.  If Chicago isn't able to retain one of their cornerbacks, they will need to find a replacement.

25. Green Bay Packers (9-7) - Haha Clinton-Dix (FS/Alabama)

Clinton-Dix has been suspended indefinitely, allegedly for receiving a loan from a booster, so if draft stock shouldn't take much of a hit.  Green Bay has been horrible at safety all season, so an upgrade is needed.

26. Baltimore Ravens (9-7) - Cyrus Kouandijo (OT/Alabama)

The Ravens acquired Eugene Monroe, but he is a free agent at the end of the year.  Bryant McKinnie has really regressed over the past season and Michael Oher is terrible.  Even if Monroe does return, the Ravens need help at tackle.

27. Cleveland Browns (5-11) - Johnny Manziel (QB/Texas A&M)

The Browns avoided Manziel with their first pick and still wound up with him later.  Manziel has the talent, but his size and ego could block him.  Regardless, I think a franchise like the Browns will be willing to take a chance on him.

28. New Orleans Saints (11-5) - Adrian Hubbard (DE/Alabama)

The Saints defense has improved greatly this season, but they still have holes along their defensive line.  Hubbard is versatile enough to play end or tackle.

29. San Francisco 49ers (9-7) - Ifo Ekpre-Olomu (CB/Oregon)

San Francisco need to bolster a secondary that improves impending free agent Carlos Rogers.  Eric Reid was drafted to replace Dashon Goldson, so I can see San Francisco taking a cornerback early as well.

30. New England Patriots (12-4) - Jordan Matthews (WR/Vanderbilt)

Wide receiver is clearly a huge need in New England.  Tom Brady can't trust his receivers to catch a pass and the Patriots are scoring much less than they should be.  Matthews can become a solid option for Brady in his final years.

31. Seattle Seahawks (11-5) - Kyle Van Noy (DE/BYU)

The Seahawks added several defensive ends last offseason to become short-term solutions.  With Van Noy, the Seahawks can have a complimentary pass rush option across from Bruce Irvin.

32. Denver Broncos (13-3) - Loucheiz Purifoy (CB/Florida)

Dominique Rogers-Cromartie was torched by Dallas' receivers last Sunday and not for the first time this season.  The Broncos needed an upgrade at cornerback even if Rogers-Cromartie wasn't playing poorly, Champ Bailey has already converted to safety and doesn't have much time left.

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