Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Justin's Week 15 Mock Draft

1. Houston Texans (2-14) - Teddy Bridgewater (QB/Louisville)

With Gary Kubiak officially gone, there is little doubt that the Texans will move on from Matt Schaub.  Jadeveon Clowney could be an option as well, but the need for a quarterback vastly outweighs the need for a pass rusher.

Scouts reportedly are not as smitten with Bridgewater as much as previous top quarterbacks such as Andrew Luck or Cam Newton, but he has been stellar all season and should be the top quarterback selected.

2. St. Louis Rams (7-9) - Jadeveon Clowney (DE/South Carolina)

The Rams are tied for fifth in the league in sacks and have a pair of talented edge rushers in Robert Quinn and Chris Long, but you can never have enough guys who can take down the quarterback in the league.  Clowney is the top player in this draft and With multiple first round picks this year, they can afford to take the top player available.

3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-12) - Anthony Barr (OLB/UCLA)

Quarterback is in play here, especially with Mike Glennon's recent struggles, but it looks like Greg Schiano will survive another year in  Tampa Bay and if he does, he may stick with Glennon and take the top player instead.  Barr has flourished at linebacker since converting to the position last year.

4. Cleveland Browns (4-12) - Brett Hundley (QB/UCLA)

Cleveland has a talented defense and a great receiver in Josh Gordon, but they still need to put the rest of their offense together.  Hundley could finally provide stability to a franchise that has started 20 different signal callers since returning to the NFL in 1999.

5. Oakland Raiders (4-12) - Johnny Manziel (QB/Texas A&M)

Oakland seems to have already moved on from Terrelle Pryor and Matt McGloin has been less than stellar since taking over at quarterback.  It wouldn't be surprising at all to see the Raiders take Manziel to be their new franchise player, especially with their history of taking athletic players.

6. Buffalo Bills (5-11) - Khalil Mack (OLB/Buffalo)

Mario Williams has been solid for the Bills, but the team needs to bring more guys who can get to Tom Brady if they expect to compete in the AFC East.  Mack has skyrocketed following a solid campaign.

7. Atlanta Falcons (5-11) - Jake Matthews (OT/Texas A&M)

Sam Baker signed a contract extension during the offseason, but he played poorly before landing on injured reserve last month.  Baker will return, but a right tackle is still a need for Atlanta.  Matthews has played well at both right and left tackle in college and has the family pedigree as well.

8. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11) - Derek Carr (QB/Fresno State)

Jacksonville will be undergoing an offensive makeover during the offseason and quarterback again is the team's top need.  Carr has improved consistently throughout his college career and has great arm strength, but accuracy and footwork is still an issue that he needs to work on.

9. Tennessee Titans (6-10) - Jason Verrett (CB/TCU)

Alterraun Verner has been fantastic for Tennessee all season, but his contract is expiring and he could sign elsewhere.  If he leaves, the team will need to find a new cornerback to replace him.

10. Minnesota Vikings (6-9-1) - Tajh Boyd (QB/Clemson)

I don't see Boyd as a first round draft pick, but quarterbacks tend to be drafted higher than their actual value.  Minnesota is in need of a quarterback and could forego the top player available to fill a positional need.

11. St. Louis Rams (7-9) - Ha'Sean Clinton-Dix (S/Alabama)

Safety play has been terrible in St. Louis this season.  Clinton-Dix is the top player available and he would fill a need for the Rams.

12. New York Jets (7-9) - Mike Evans (WR/Texas A&M)

The Jets lack playmakers on their offense and if they want Geno Smith (or whoever starts at quarterback in 2014) to be successful, they need to bring in a reliable receiver for them.  Evans is a big target who could play well in the slot in the NFL.

13. Detroit Lions (7-9) - Sammy Watkins (WR/Clemson)

Detroit needs another receiver who can play across from Calvin Johnson to keep defenses from overloading his side of the field.  Watkins is an offensive weapon who could make Detroit's pass offense even more dangerous.

14. New York Giants (7-9) - Vic Beasley (DE/Clemson)

The Giants pass rush has regressed over the past two seasons and with the loss of Osi Umenyiora last year and the potential loss of Justin Tuck in the spring, they team will need to rebuild the unit.  Beasley has a great motor and has been a terror all season, but his size could effect where he is drafted.

15. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-9) - Davante Adams (WR/Fresno State)

Pittsburgh let Mike Wallace walk in free agency in favor of Antonio Brown, but the team still needs a second receiver to play across from him.  There is a good chance that Adams will return to school, but if he does declare he should be drafted somewhere in the top 20.

16. Green Bay Packers (7-8-1) - Eric Ebron (TE/North Carolina)

Aaron Rodgers will need a new safety valve with Jermichael Finely's imminent future unclear.  Ebron has declared for the draft and is the top tight end available.

17. Philadelphia Eagles (8-8) - Jordan Matthews (WR/Vanderbilt)

Jeremy Maclin is a free agent and coming off of an ACL tear.  If he is not retained, the Eagles will need to find another receiver to play across from DeSean Jackson and keep Riley Cooper in the slot.

18. San Diego Chargers (9-7) - Ifo Ekpre-Olomu (CB/Oregon)

San Diego's secondary showed up against the Broncos last week, but they have been a liability for most of the season.  The Chargers will need to upgrade their pass defense during the offseason.

19. Cincinnati Bengals (9-7) - Justin Gilbert (CB/Oklahoma State)

Cincinnati's secondary will need to be broken up during the offseason.  Leon Hall is coming off of an Achilles injury, Terence Newman is 35 and Adam Jones is nothing more than a nickelback.

20. Arizona Cardinals (10-6) - Kyle Van Noy (OLB/BYU)

John Abraham has been fantastic for Arizona this season, but he will turn 36 in the offseason.  Arizona has no other premier pass rusher on their defense and will need to find a long-term solution in the offseason.

21. Miami Dolphins (10-6) - Cameron Erving (OT/Florida State)

Miami is reportedly going to trade Jonathan Martin in the offseason.  With an overweight Bryant McKinnie as their current left tackle, Miami will need to find a blindside protector to keep Ryan Tannehill off his back.

22. New Orleans Saints (10-6) - Louis Nix (DT/Notre Dame)

New Orleans rush defense is among the league's worst and the team will look to upgrade the unit in the offseason.  Nix is a mammoth defensive tackle who can clog up running lanes.

23. Dallas Cowboys (8-8) - Timmy Jernigan (DT/Florida State)

Dallas is another run defense that has just been terrible all season.  There is a good chance that Dallas will move on from Monte Kiffin, but taking the best defensive player will be the teams biggest need heading into the draft.

24. Baltimore Ravens (10-6) - Cyrus Kouandjio (OT/Alabama)

Baltimore needs help at receiver, but with all of the top guys off the board, they will need to look at tackle, where Eugene Monroe is an impending free agent.  Baltimore will need to protect the investment they made in Joe Flacco if Monroe isn't retained.

25. San Francisco 49ers (11-5) - Aaron Colvin (CB/Oklahoma)

Carlos Rogers figures to be a cap casualty in the offseason after his salary rises to $6.25 million.  If he is not on the roster, San Francisco will need to find a new cornerback.

26. Kansas City Chiefs (11-5) - Adrian Hubbard (OLB/Alabama)

Justin Houston and Tamba Hali are fantastic, but adding the top player available will provide depth to their pass rush, something needed if they want to dethrone Peyton Manning.

27. Chicago Bears (10-6) - C.J. Mosley (MLB/Alabama)

Chicago's run defense has been awful all season, surrendering over 150 yards per game in the first year of the post-Brian Urlacher era.  Adding new personnel to their front seven will be necessary.

28. Cleveland Browns (4-12) - Lache Seastrunk (RB/Baylor)

Another need on offense, the Browns need to bring in a feature back for their offense.  Seastrunk has a great burst, but he needs to improve in pass protection.

29. New England Patriots (11-5) - Ra'Shede Hageman (DT/Minnesota)

Vince Wilfork will return to New England next season, but Belichick will likely seek to add depth to the position and a player who could ultimately replace Wilfork.  Hageman is a 300-pound monster who can play both end and tackle.

30. Carolina Panthers (11-5) - Taylor Lewan (OT/Michigan)

Jordan Gross' status is up in the air, but if he decides to retire, Carolina will need to find a new tackle to protect Cam Newton.

31. Seattle Seahawks (14-2) - Darqueze Dennard (CB/Michigan State)

Brandon Browner is facing a year-long suspension and will likely not return to Seattle.  The Seahawks will need to find a cornerback to play across from Richard Sherman.

32. Denver Broncos (13-3) - Cyril Richardson (G/Baylor)

The Broncos interior offensive line needs to be upgraded.  Zane Beadles, who is the weak link at guard, is a free agent after the season.

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Justin's 2015 Mock Draft

1. Oakland Raiders - Jameis Winston (QB/Florida State)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Mike Evans (WR/Texas A&M)

Terrelle Pryor's hot start fizzled and Matt McGloin has been playing instead, signalling that Pryor may not in fact be the long-term solution at quarterback.  If they team is unable to find stability at the position in 2014, the will need to find their franchise signal caller in the 2015 draft.

Redshirt sophomore quarterbacks never declare, but Jameis Winston could be an exception like Johnny Manziel and Brett Hundley.  Winston may have nothing to prove if he wins the Heisman Trophy and a National Championship and after being recently cleared of rape allegations, he may be looking to leave Florida State as soon as possible.  Winston could also rejuvenate fandom in Tampa Bay as a Florida product.

2. Minnesota Vikings - Leonard Williams (DE/USC)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Tajh Boyd (QB/Clemson)

If Minnesota is holding the second overall pick, Leslie Frazier will likely lose his job.  Regardless, I doubt the new head coach will immediately give up on Boyd and the team will look elsewhere with their top pick.  Jared Allen is a free agent in 2014 so the team will need to find a new pass rusher.

3. New York Jets - Marcus Mariota (QB/Oregon)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Sammy Watkins (WR/Clemson)

If the Jets are picking this high, Geno Smith is gone and Rex Ryan likely will be too.  Whoever is coaching the team in 2015 will look for his guy early in the draft.  Mariota could be taken in the top had in 2014 had he decided not to return to school.

4. Jacksonville Jaguars - Todd Gurley (RB/Georgia)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Derek Carr (QB/Fresno State)

Maurice Jones-Drew enters free agency in 2014 and will likely look to sign elsewhere.  In reality, this is a blessing in disguise for the Jaguars.  Jones-Drew turns 29 in the offseason, but he already has a lot of miles on him after rushing for nearly 8,000 career yards and he has a career low of 3.5 yards per carry this season.  Jacksonville will need to remodel their offense.  Quarterback was a start, but playmakers are still needed, especially if Justin Blackmon can not stay out of trouble.

5. Washington Redskins - Devonte Fields (DE/TCU)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: None

Brian Orakpo enters free agency in 2014 and Ryan Kerrigan follows a year later.  Washington will need to rebuild their pass rush in the immediate future.  Fields has a monster freshman campaign before missing almost his entire sophomore season due to a foot injury.  If he shows that he is healthy in 2014 he should be a high pick.

6. Arizona Cardinals - Blake Bortles (QB/Central Florida)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Kyle Van Noy (OLB/BYU)

Arizona has been a quietly surprising team this season, but Carson Palmer is clearly past his prime.  The Cardinals have the ability to void Palmer's contract in 2015 and could do that or decide to retain him while they bring in a young replacement like Bortles for him.

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Amari Cooper (WR/Alabama)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Johnny Manziel (QB/Texas A&M)

The Bucs gave Mike Williams an extension during last offseason and they have Vincent Jackson, but Cooper is the top player available and would serve as an upgrade to Tampa Bay's passing offense.

8. San Diego Chargers - Jaelen Strong (WR/Arizona State)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Ifo Ekpre-Olomu (CB/Oregon)

San Diego has issues at receiver that need to be addressed.  Tight end Antonio Gates is old, while Eddie Royal and Vincent Brown enter free agency in 2015.  Regardless, an upgrade is needed even if those players are retained.

9. Tennessee Titans - Bryce Petty (QB/Baylor)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Jason Verrett (CB/TCU)

Jake Locker started the season looking like he finally turned the corner and was going to become the franchise quarterback the team envisioned him to be, then he got hurt again.  Locker is too much of an injury risk to keep at quarterback and if he can not play a full season in 2014, the Titans will likely move on from him.  Petty rounds out a stacked quarterback class in 2015.

10. Pittsburgh Steelers - Ronald Darby (CB/Florida State)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Jake Matthews (OT/Texas A&M(

Ike Taylor will be a 35-year-old free agent in 2015, so finding a new starting cornerback will be on the Steelers shopping list.  Darby is also a world-class sprinter.

11. Buffalo Bills - Jace Amaro (TE/Texas Tech)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Anthony Barr (OLB/UCLA)

There is still a chance that Amaro may declare this year, but if he returns to Lubbock, he should still be a top 15 selection in 2015.  Tight end is a big need in Buffalo, E.J. Manuel has no real safety valve.

12. New York Giants - TJ Yeldon (RB/Alabama)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Vic Beasley (DE/Clemson)

David Wilson has been injury prone and a disappointment in his brief tenure with the Giants.  New York, who has been forced into a running back by committee approach, may look to upgrade this unit in 2015.

13. Cleveland Browns - Jalen Collins (CB/LSU)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Brett Hundley (QB/UCLA), Lache Seastrunk (RB/Baylor)

Cleveland has Joe Haden, but they can upgrade across from him.  Besides, in today's NFL, you can never have enough cornerbacks.

14. Atlanta Falcons - Cedric Ogbuehi (OT/Texas A&M)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Khalil Mack (OLB/Buffalo)

The Falcons gave Sam Baker an extension during the 2013 offseason, but he has been horrible since.  He is due for a massive raise in 2014 and if he underperforms again, the team may look to bring in some new blood for the blind side.

15. Chicago Bears - Jalen Mills (CB/LSU)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: CJ Mosley (MLB/Alabama)

Chicago has both of their starting cornerbacks entering free agency in 2014.  If they are unable to retain them, the Bears will look to find a replacement.

16. St. Louis Rams - Kelvin Benjamin (WR/Florida State)

2014 Mock Draft Selections: Jadeveon Clowney (DE/South Carolina), Haha Clinton-Dix (S/Alabama)

The Rams added the short, speedy Tavon Austin last year, but Benjamin really could be the one to solidify the wide receiver options.  Benjamin is a 6'5" 240-pound matchup nightmare.

17. Houston Texans - Leonard Williams (DE/USC)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Teddy Bridgewater (QB/Louisville)

Houston has a penchant for taking the top player available and at his juncture it is Williams, who is in the running as the top defensive prospect of this draft.  Williams would join an already loaded pass rush.

18. New Orleans Saints - Melvin Gordon (RB/Wisconsin)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Timmy Jernigan (DT/Florida State)

Mark Ingram, Pierre Thomas and Darren Sproles all have expiring contracts in 2015.  Quarterback Drew Brees will be 36 in 2015, so having a balanced offense will be necessary.

19. Kansas City Chiefs - Dorial Green-Beckham (WR/Missouri)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Adrian Hubbard (OLB/Alabama)

Dwayne Bowe is one of the most overrated receivers in the NFL and has become unable to beat man coverage since signing an extension.  The Chiefs need receivers who can stretch the field because their short passing game is not a long-term solution.

20. Dallas Cowboys - Kony Ealy (DE/Missouri)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Louis Nix (DT/Notre Dame)

With DeMarcus Ware entering the final year of his contract, the Cowboys may want to bring in a new player to take his place if they are unable to retain Ware.  Even if they do re-sign him, however, depth is needed at the position.

21. Baltimore Ravens - DaVaris Daniels (WR/Notre Dame)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Cyrus Kouandjio (OT/Alabama)

Currently, the only reliable receiver the Ravens have is Torrey Smith.  Baltimore needs to upgrade their group of receivers, otherwise opposing defenses will just continue to stack up the box against Ray Rice.

22. Green Bay Packers - Josh Harvey-Clemons (S/Georgia)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Eric Ebron (TE/North Carolina)

The safety position has been a massive liability for the Packers this season and something that must be corrected.  Green Bay is likely out of the Haha Clinton-Dix sweepstakes in 2014, but Harvey-Clemons should be available for them in 2015.

23. Miami Dolphins - Mike Davis (RB/South Carolina)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Cameron Erving (OT/Florida State)

Lamar Miller has not made the most of his opportunity as the Dolphins feature back, amassing just 119 yards in a recent five game stretch.  If he continues to struggle, Miami will look into finding someone who can get the job done.

24. San Francisco 49ers - Stefon Diggs (WR/Maryland)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Justin Gilbert (CB/Oklahoma State)

Anquan Boldin and Mario Manningham enter free agency in 2014 while Michael Crabtree's contract expires the following season.  San Francisco will need to upgrade their receiving core soon.

25. Cincinnati Bengals - Jabari Hunt-Days (MLB/Georgia Tech)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Aaron Colvin (CB/Oklahoma)

Rey Maualuga is a free agent in 2015 and the team may consider moving on from him then.  If they do not retain Maualuga, a replacement will be needed.

26. Detroit Lions - Hroniss Grasu (C/Oregon)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Jordan Matthews (WR/Vanderbilt)

The top player available fits a big need for Detroit.  Dominic Raiola is a free agent in 2015 and at age 36, the team will likely look to inject some youth at center.

27. New England Patriots - La'el Collins (OT/LSU)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Ra'Shede Hageman (DT/Minnesota)

Nate Solder has solidified himself at the team's left tackle, but the right side is a bit of a mess.  If Collins somehow falls into the Patriots laps at this spot, this pick is a no-brainer.

28. Philadelphia Eagles - Alex Carter (CB/Stanford)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Davante Adams (WR/Fresno State)

Cary Williams has been a disappointment in Philadelphia and the only reliable cornerback on Philadelphia's roster is Brandon Boykin.  If secondary play doesn't improve in 2014, the team will seek an upgrade.

29. Denver Broncos - Roland Powell (OLB/Florida)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Cyril Richardson (G/Baylor)

The Broncos are going to need another edge rusher in 2015 to play across from Von Miller.  Shaun Phillips will be a 34-year-old free agent in 2015.

30. Carolina Panthers - Noah Spence (DE/Ohio State)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Taylor Lewan (OT/Michigan)

Carolina's pass rush has been exposed when Charles Johnson is neutralized or out of action.  The Panthers will need to find a way to provide consistent pressure on the quarterback.

31. Seattle Seahawks - George Uko (DT/USC)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: Darqueze Dennard (CB/Michigan State)

Seattle has a strong defense, but the interior pass rush could be improved. Uko has a great motor and shreds blockers well from the inside.

32. Indianapolis Colts - Za'Darius Smith (DE/Kentucky)

2014 Mock Draft Selection: None

Robert Mathis has played well in his first season without Dwight Freeney, but he is no spring chicken and will be 34 and in the final year of his contract in 2015.  Adding a pass rush would be a big upgrade to the Colts defense.