Monday, September 30, 2013

Justin's Week 4 Mock Draft

1. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-14) - Teddy Bridgeater (QB/Louisville)

Blaine Gabbert's total QBR against the Colts was a 1.7, I didn't even know that was possible.  Regardless, the Jaguars gave him three years and now it is time to cut ties with him.

Bridgewater didn't even play last week and still managed to have a better game than Gabbert.  Bridgewater would be an immediate upgrade for this team and could finally make Justin Blackmon look like the All-Pro receiver the Jaguars envisioned when he was drafted.

2. Oakland Raiders (4-12) - Jadeveon Clowney (DE/South Carolina)

Oakland gave up 24 unanswered points to the Redskins after getting an early 14-0 lead.  Even worse, their pass defense has faded after the first two games.  The team has no reliable pass rusher outside of Lamarr Miller.

Clowney isn't having a great season, but he is injured.  Regardless, he is one of the best defensive prospects to enter the league in years and is they top player available.

3. Cleveland Browns (5-11) - Johnny Manziel (QB/Texas A&M)

Manziel looked solid again this week against Arkansas and has shown that during the season he will not serve as a distraction.  Some teams will still be scared of his offseason antic along with his small frame (6'1", 210 pounds) but I can't see Cleveland as being one of those teams.  Brian Hoyer has given them a spark, but so did Matt Moore in Jacksonville last year, and we all saw how that ended.

4. Buffalo Bills (5-11) - Anthony Barr (OLB/UCLA)

The best player available, Barr has flourished at lineback since converting from running back last season.  Barr would form a fearsome pass rush combo with Mario Williams.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11) - Tajh Boyd (QB/Clemson)

The end of the Josh Freeman era is beginning.  Freeman was not only listed as inactive against Arizona, he wasn't even on the sidelines.  Mike Glennon didn't look much better in his first career start.  Expect the Buccaneers to look for their franchise signal caller early next season.

6. New York Jets (5-11) - Sammy Watkins (WR/Clemson)

The team is all but officially Geno Smith's, but if they expect him to achieve any level of success, they need to bring in a playmaker to their offense.  Watkins set the tone against Wake Forest with a 64 yard touchdowns grab and ended the game with six catches for 116 yards and a touchdown.

7. Philadelphia Eagles (5-11) - Aaron Colvin (CB/Oklahoma)

The Eagles were simply picked apart by Peyton Manning as Denver put up the most points in franchise history.  Colvin could serve as an immediate upgrade to the Eagles defense.

8. St. Louis Rams (6-10) - Jake Matthews (OT/Texas A&M)

Roger Saffold will be a free agent at the end of the season and Jake Long was injured against San Francisco.  Long did return to the game, but there is already an injury history with him and if the Rams want to protect Sam Bradford, they need to bring in another tackle.

9. Cincinnati Bengals (6-10) - Aaron Lynch (DE/South Florida)

Cincinnati has the league's best defensive tackle in Geno Atkins, but the rest of the defensive line could be solidified with the addition of another pass rusher.  Lynch could take over for Michael Johnson who is an impending free agent.

10. Kansas City Chiefs (7-9) - Austin Seferian-Jenkins (TE/Washington)

Seferian-Jenkins has had a slow start this season, but he has scored in two straight games and has helped the team in more than just the pass department.  Tony Moeaki is too much of an injury concern to remain on the Chiefs roster and while Anthony Fasano has looked good so far this season, Seferian-Jenkins is still an upgrade.

11. St. Louis Rams (6-10) - Louis Nix (DT/Notre Dame)

Michael Brockers was a solid addition, but Nix could really bolster this defensive line.  The Rams need help stopping the run as well after huge performances from Frank Gore and DeMarco Murray in back-to-back weeks.

12. San Diego Chargers (7-9) - Mike Evans (WR/Texas A&M)

San Diego has needs all across their roster.  Phillip Rivers needs a big body at receiver like he had with Vinnie Jackson.  Evans has a similar frame and could provide a big spark for the Chargers passing game.

13. Dallas Cowboys (7-9) - Scott Crichton (DE/Oregon State)

Anthony Spencer, who is a free agent, was just lost for the season.  Dallas will want to find a replacement so teams don't zero in on DeMarcus Ware.

14. Carolina Panthers (8-8) - Marqise Lee (WR/USC)

Steve Smith isn't going to be around forever.  Cam Newton will need a new weapon on offense soon.  Lee looked great against Arizona State until he went down with a sprained knee.

15. Arizona Cardinals (8-8) - Taylor Lewan (OT/Michigan)

Arizona is on pace to allow 40 sacks this season.  The Cardinals are consistently one of the worst offensive lines in the league and the entire unit needs to be rebuilt.  Lewan could have been a top 10 pick if he declared for the draft last year.

16. Green Bay Packers (8-8) - C.J. Mosley (MLB/Alabama)

Green Bay needs help in the middle of their defense, especially with A.J. Hawk aging.  Mosley was just named SEC defensive player of the week after playing a big piece in shutting out Ole Miss.

17. Tennessee Titans (8-8) - Bradley Roby (CB/Ohio State)

Another week, another huge game from Alterraun Verner.  Verner, an impending free agent, is tied for the league lead with four interceptions and has shut down the opposing team's top receiver each week.  Someone will pay Verner this offseason, and if it isn't Tennesse, then they will need to find someone in the draft.

18. Baltimore Ravens (8-8) - Antonio Richardson (OT/Tennessee)

Bryant McKinnie is no spring chicken.  If Baltimore wants to protect their $120 million quarterback (who threw five picks this week) then they will need to bring in a new left tackle sooner rather than later.

19. Atlanta Falcons (9-7) - Khalil Mack (DE/Buffalo)

Atlanta put absolutely zero pressure on Tom Brady.  Aside from the game against Miami, the Falcons pass rush has been atrocious all season long and needs to be addressed this offseason.

20. Minnesota Vikings (9-7) - A.J. McCarron (QB/Alabama)

Matt Cassel played well against Pittsburgh, but he isn't going to be changing the Vikings fortunes at quarterback anytime soon.  Minnesota doesn't need a superstar at the position, but a competent game manager like McCarron could handle the weapons this team has on offense much better than Christian Ponder has.

21. Detroit Lions (9-7) - James Hurst (OT/North Carolina)

Detroit is quietly 3-1 this season and could sneak into the playoffs.  They are still struggling in pass protection, however.  Riley Reiff has shown that he can be a decent right tackle in the NFL, but not someone you want as the anchor of your offensive line.  Hurst can solidify the blind side while Reiff kicks over to the right.

22. Miami Dolphins (9-7) - Marcus Roberson (CB/Florida)

Miami's biggest need heading into the offseason will be their secondary.  Brent Grimes is injured and both he and Will Allen aren't long-term answers at the position.  Florida has the best combination of cornerbacks in the league, both Roberson and Loucheiz Purifoy are first-round talents.

23. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) - Cyrus Kouandijo (OT/Alabama)

The Steelers offensive line is a mess.  Ben Roethlisberger is the most sacked quarterback in the league and was knocked down five times against the Vikings.  The Steelers have built the middle of their offensive line in recent drafts, but the outside still needs work.

24. New York Giants (9-7) - Loucheiz Purifoy (CB/Florida)

Yes, despite the 0-4 start by New York and Pittsburgh my preseason projections still have them in the playoffs (I don't make adjustments to my preseason predictions).  Regardless, the Giants secondary is awful, there is no adequate substitute for it.  Luckily three of their cornerbacks are slated for free agency so the Giants will have the opportunity to rebuild the secondary in the offseason.

25. San Francisco 49ers (9-7) - Kyle Van Noy (DE/BYU)

Once a strength on this team, the pass rush in San Francisco is in a bit of limbo.  Aldon Smith is in rehab and though he is still playing at a high level, Justin Smith is 34.  San Francisco has built their defense with a stout front seven and they will need to retool it during the offseason.

26. Cleveland Browns (5-11) - Jordan Matthews (WR/Vanderbilt)

Cleveland got their new franchise quarterback, now it is time to bring in a primary target for him.  Rumor has Cleveland shipping Greg Little and Josh Gordon during the season, so if both are gone receiver will become an obvious need.

27.  New Orleans Saints (11-5) - Anthony Johnson (DT/LSU)

New Orleans defense has improved this season, but there is still help needed all across the board.  Anthony Johnson is the best defensive player available and will serve as an immediate upgrade to their front seven.

28. New England Patriots (13-3) - Rashede Hageman (DE/Minnesota)

Hageman has the size to play both end or tackle, something Belichick covets in his defensive system.  With the season ending injury to Vince Wilfork along with the fact that Wilfork will turn 32 in November, Belichick may look for depth at the position.

29. Houston Texans (10-6) - Jason Verrett (CB/TCU)

Russell Wilson struggled against Houston's defense, but it had more to do with their pass rush than it did their secondary.  Houston will be looking to find a new cornerback in the offseason and potentially cut ties with Kareem Jackson.

30. Seattle Seahawks (11-5) - Adrian Hubbard (DE/Alabama)

Seattle added a few pieces to their defensive line during the offseason, but none are long-term solutions.  Hubbard has the versatility to play anywhere on the defnsive line aside form the nose position and can provide a solid pass rush option.

31. Chicago Bears (10-6) - Ifo Ekpre-Olomu (CB/Oregon)

Both of the Bears starting cornerbacks are in their contract year and could demand a big contract in free agency.  If they lose one cornerback, they will need to replace him.  Ekpre-Olomu had a huge game against Cal, tallying eight tackles and a pick.

32. Denver Broncos (13-3) - Ha'Sean Clinton-Dix (S/Alabama)

If Clinton-Dix is available here, I doubt Denver lets him fall into the second round.  Clinton-Dix is a hard-hitting safety that could be a big piece of Denver's secondary.

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