This pick is based on what the team decides to do in the offseason. The more likely route is that they find a quarterback through trade or free agency. If they fail, however, they will be forced to take Smith. If they do have a quarterback when the draft approaches, expect the Chiefs to go for Luke Joeckel instead.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-14) - Damontre Moore (DE/Texas A&M)
The Jaguars are lacking in the pass rush department. Fans want Blaine Gabbert, but this is not the draft to assess that position.
3. Oakland Raiders (4-12) - Star Lotulelei (DT/Utah)
Oakland will spend this offseason trying to overhaul a defense was among the worst in the NFL in points allowed. The Raiders will need to find help up front where father time has nipped them.
4. Philadelphia Eagles (4-12) - Luke Joeckel (OT/Texas A&M)
The Eagles are going to need to find a way to protect Michael Vick if they are serious about keeping him around for another season. He has only played one full season in his NFL career, so a stud pass blocker is necessary.
5. Detroit Lions (4-12) - Bjoern Werner (DE/Florida State)
Detroit will most likely let Cliff Avril walk in the offseason. Kyle Vanden Bosch was already released as well.
6. Cleveland Browns (5-11) - Dion Jordan (DE/Oregon)
Cleveland finished 11th in the league in sacks, but no player on the team had more than 7.0. Cleveland will need a premier pass rusher in order to compete in the AFC South.
7. Arizona Cardinals (5-11) - Eric Fisher (OT/Central Michigan)
Arizona's pass rush has been an Achilles heel for some time now. If the team expects to compete, they will need to have a healthy quarterback.
8. Buffalo Bills (6-10) - Chance Warmack (G/Alabama)
Guards rarely go into the top half of the draft, let alone the top 10, but Warmack is a special talent. Both of the Bills starting guards are free agents, so it wouldn't be surprising to see Buffalo pick Warmack.
9. New York Jets (6-10) - Ezekiel Ansah (DE/BYU)
Ansah has risen in many draft boards and the Jets have just released Calvin Pace. The team needs to get someone who can get to the quarterback this offseason.
10. Tennessee Titans (6-10) - DeMarcus Milliner (CB/Alabama)
Tennessee's poor pass defense was a key factor in the team allowing a league-high 29.7 points per game, so expect either a cornerback or defense end to be brought in.
11. San Diego Chargers (7-9) - Lane Johnson (OT/Oklahoma)
Poor protection of Phillip Rivers and bonehead plays by the offensive line led to a few San Diego losses this season. The offensive line is a weak point that will need to be fixed.
12. Miami Dolphins (7-9) - Cordarrelle Patterson (WR/Tennessee)
Miami has their potential quarterback in Ryan Tannehill, but they need to bring in a wide receiver to help him succeed. There is no consensus top receiver in this draft, but Patterson has the ability to make big plays after the catch.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9) - Sharrif Floyd (DT/Florida)
Floyd has risen into the top 10 in many other mock drafts, but I cannot see a team needing a defensive tackle as badly as other positions outside of Oakland at those spots. Floyd could form a lethal interior rush with Gerald McCoy.
14. Carolina Panthers (7-9) - Sheldon Richardson (DT/Missouri)
The Panthers defensive line was ran over all season, especially by opposing team's backup running backs (Andre and Bryce Brown). The interior defensive line needs to be improved.
15. New Orleans Saints (7-9) - Jarvis Jones (LB/Georgia)
The Saints only recorded 30 sacks this season. While many expect the Saints to bounce back, not being able to take down Matt Ryan and Cam Newton in four games next season will be a major problem.
16. St. Louis Rams (7-8-1) - Kenny Vaccaro (S/Texas)
The Rams cornerbacks played extremely well last season, but both safeties could be upgraded.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8) - Barkevious Mingo (DE/LSU)
Pittsburgh could release James Harrison in the near future since his salary is not equaling his production. If he is cut, the Steelers will need to find a new person who can disrupt the quarterback.
18. Dallas Cowboys (8-8) - Johnathan Hankins (DT/Ohio State)
With Dallas' switch to a 4-3, bringing in another defensive tackle will be a necessity.
19. New York Giants (9-7) - Manti Te'o (LB/Notre Dame)
If Te'o slips to the Giants, don't expect him to fall further. New York is planning on overhauling their linebacker unit and the team has has top 10 talent fall to them in recent years.
20. Chicago Bears (10-6) - Jonathan Cooper (G/North Carolina)
The Bears need to bring some stability to an offensive line that was forced to mix their starting offensive line week in and week out.
21. Cincinnati Bengals (10-6) - Alec Ogletree (LB/Georgia)
Ogletree has a red flag now after being arrested for DUI. Normally, I would drop him (this is not his first time in trouble), but I really doubt the Bengals really care whether or not he was hit with a DUI.
22. St. Louis Rams (7-8-1) - Terrance Williams (WR/Baylor)
Sam Bradford needs a top option at receiver. Adding Williams will give the Rams the ability to spread out the field.
23. Minnesota Vikings (10-6) - Bennie Logan (DT/LSU)
Kevin Williams will be a free agent in three weeks. Even if he does re-sign, the Vikings will need to inject some youth into the position as well.
24. Indianapolis Colts (11-5) - Sam Montgomery (DE/LSU)
With the Dwight Freeney era officially over, the Colts are going to need to bring in a new pass rusher.
25. Seattle Seahawks (11-5) - John Jenkins (DT/Georgia)
Seattle's defense as a whole was very talented this season, but the defensive tackle position needs to be improved. Jenkins is a space eater who will force running backs to go to the outside.
26. Green Bay Packers (11-5) - Jonathan Banks (CB/Mississippi State)
Green Bay waived Charles Woodson, so adding another defensive back is a possibility in this draft. Banks could fall, but would be a great value pick for the Packers at this spot.
27. Houston Texans (12-4) - Tavon Austin (WR/West Virginia)
Andre Johnson is getting older and the Texans do not have many options at wide receiver outside of him. Expect Houston to find another receiver at some point in the near future.
28. Denver Broncos (12-4) - Jesse Williams (DT/Alabama)
Defensive tackle is one of the few position of needs in Denver, but it is a major need. Williams is a nose tackle who could be a natural fit in their defense.
29. New England Patriots (12-4) - Sylvester Williams (DT/North Carolina)
New England will need to bring in an heir to Vince Wilfork soon. Wilfork is now 31 and has taken a step back in production over the past year.
30. Atlanta Falcons (13-3) - Zach Ertz (TE/Stanford)
Atlanta looks really desperate to keep Tony Gonzalez from retiring, but if he does call it a career, Atlanta could target Ertz at this spot in the draft.
31. San Francisco 49ers (11-4-1) - Alex Okafor (DE/Texas)
San Francisco's pass rush was diminished once Justin Smith went down. To prevent that from happening again, they will need to add depth to the position.
32. Baltimore Ravens (10-6) - Kevin Minter (LB/LSU)
Now that Ray Lewis has retired, the Ravens will seek someone to fill his shoes in the heart of the defense.
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